Tijuana vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 0
PUE
37%
27%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MON
2 - 2
TIJ
70%
19%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 2
MON
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TIJ
1 - 1
PUM
37%
30%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SNL
0 - 1
TIJ
47%
27%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
UAT
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
UAT
2 - 0
MER
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
5 - 1
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
UAT
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LOB
2 - 1
MER
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |