Liga MX Sub 18 - Clausura round 12

Tijuana U19 vs Toluca U19 analysis

Tijuana U19 Toluca U19
45 ELO 46
4.7% Tilt 1.9%
47393º General ELO ranking 46671º
399º Country ELO ranking 360º
ELO win probability
46.5%
Tijuana U19
24.1%
Draw
29.4%
Toluca U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
Tijuana U19
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.4%
Win probability
Toluca U19
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Tijuana U19
Their league position
Toluca U19
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
13º
18º
18º
29
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tigres UANL U19
38
38
100%
Monterrey U19
36
36
100%
Cruz Azul U19
34
34
100%
Atlas FC U19
31
31
100%
Necaxa U19
30
30
100%
Toluca U19
29
29
100%
América U19
27
27
100%
Chivas Guadalajara U19
25
25
0%
Querétaro U19
25
25
0%
Puebla U19
10º
22
22
10º
100%
Mazatlán U19
11º
21
21
11º
100%
FC Juárez U19
12º
19
19
12º
100%
Pachuca U19
13º
18
18
13º
100%
León U19
14º
17
17
14º
0%
Pumas UNAM U19
15º
17
17
15º
0%
Santos Laguna U19
16º
15
15
16º
100%
Atl. San Luis U19
17º
15
15
17º
100%
Tijuana U19
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tijuana U19
Toluca U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Tijuana U19
Toluca U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tijuana U19
Tijuana U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
SNT
Santos Laguna U19
3 - 0
Tijuana U19
TIJ
46%
24%
31%
46 44 2 0
03 Mar. 2023
TIJ
Tijuana U19
2 - 0
Atlas FC U19
ATL
29%
25%
46%
45 53 8 +1
26 Feb. 2023
TIJ
Tijuana U19
5 - 1
Pachuca U19
PAC
49%
23%
28%
43 43 0 +2
19 Feb. 2023
AME
América U19
2 - 0
Tijuana U19
TIJ
70%
17%
13%
44 52 8 -1
15 Feb. 2023
GUA
Chivas Guadalajara U19
1 - 2
Tijuana U19
TIJ
53%
23%
25%
43 45 2 +1

Matches

Toluca U19
Toluca U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2023
TOL
Toluca U19
1 - 0
Mazatlán U19
MAZ
48%
24%
27%
46 43 3 0
05 Mar. 2023
GBL
Querétaro U19
1 - 0
Toluca U19
TOL
22%
25%
54%
47 37 10 -1
26 Feb. 2023
TOL
Toluca U19
2 - 1
Atl. San Luis U19
ATL
59%
22%
19%
47 39 8 0
19 Feb. 2023
PAC
Pachuca U19
0 - 1
Toluca U19
TOL
47%
24%
30%
46 44 2 +1
12 Feb. 2023
TOL
Toluca U19
0 - 1
Cruz Azul U19
CRZ
58%
23%
19%
47 41 6 -1