Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Tigres UANL vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
PUE
2 - 2
TIG
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TIG
0 - 0
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TIG
2 - 2
AUR
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
TIJ
2 - 0
TIG
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 4
TIG
48%
26%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
PUE
2 - 2
TIG
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
CAZ
1 - 2
PUE
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PUE
5 - 4
LEO
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
TOL
0 - 1
PUE
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 1
PUE
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |