Thunder Bay Chill vs Manitoba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.8%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
STL
1 - 0
THU
19%
20%
61%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
KCF
3 - 1
THU
26%
24%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
THU
2 - 1
KCF
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
THU
0 - 1
STL
84%
11%
5%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
THU
1 - 2
STL
85%
10%
5%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
GBV
3 - 0
WSA
88%
8%
3%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
DES
1 - 0
WSA
91%
8%
1%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
STL
4 - 1
WSA
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
KCF
3 - 0
WSA
90%
8%
3%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
DES
5 - 0
WSA
91%
8%
1%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |