Thunder Bay Chill vs Manitoba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.6%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.3%
2.7%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
THU
2 - 2
CHI
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
THU
1 - 2
DES
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
THU
0 - 2
DES
55%
22%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
WSA
1 - 2
THU
7%
15%
78%
|
52 | 15 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
WSA
1 - 5
THU
8%
16%
76%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
WSA
0 - 6
DES
9%
18%
74%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
WSA
1 - 0
CHI
8%
14%
78%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | +5 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
WSA
0 - 2
CHI
9%
15%
77%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
WSA
1 - 2
THU
7%
15%
78%
|
15 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
WSA
1 - 5
THU
8%
16%
76%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | -1 |