Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
THU
0 - 0
FCA
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FCV
1 - 1
THU
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
THU
0 - 1
YOB
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
STG
1 - 0
THU
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LAU
0 - 1
THU
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ZUR
2 - 2
BAS
24%
23%
54%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 0
ZUR
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WOH
0 - 1
ZUR
15%
19%
66%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ZUR
3 - 3
THU
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |