Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
25%
23%
52%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SIO
1 - 2
THU
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 0
THU
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
THU
0 - 2
STG
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
GCZ
1 - 2
THU
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SIO
46%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GCZ
5 - 0
ZUR
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ZUR
5 - 3
LUG
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCV
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
YOB
1 - 1
ZUR
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |