Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2008 |
SIO
5 - 0
THU
56%
24%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
FCL
4 - 0
THU
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2008 |
THU
1 - 1
STG
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
THU
0 - 2
GCZ
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
STG
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 0
ZUR
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
GCZ
1 - 1
ZUR
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 2
YOB
37%
26%
37%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |