Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
THU
3 - 1
STG
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 0
THU
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
YOB
3 - 1
THU
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
THU
0 - 2
GCZ
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
SCH
1 - 2
THU
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
ZUR
1 - 0
STG
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCA
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 4
ZUR
16%
22%
62%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
FCL
2 - 0
ZUR
23%
24%
54%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ZUR
1 - 0
YOB
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |