Thun vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 1
THU
18%
22%
60%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
GCZ
1 - 1
THU
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
KRI
1 - 2
THU
35%
24%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
THU
0 - 1
WIN
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 1
SCH
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
WIL
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
WIL
0 - 0
STA
36%
25%
38%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
NEX
2 - 1
WIL
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
WIL
0 - 1
KRI
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |