Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-1
Thun vs Vllaznia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SER
1 - 2
THU
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
VLZ
0 - 0
THU
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 0
THU
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
THU
3 - 1
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BAS
5 - 1
THU
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vllaznia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
VLZ
0 - 0
THU
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
VLZ
1 - 1
BIR
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
BIR
0 - 1
VLZ
35%
26%
39%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BYL
2 - 0
VLZ
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
VLZ
3 - 0
FLA
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |