Thun vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 1
THU
29%
25%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 4
THU
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
ARS
2 - 1
THU
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
YOB
0 - 0
THU
51%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
YVE
2 - 0
THU
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
0 - 2
BAN
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
SLO
2 - 0
SPA
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 1
AJA
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 0
VJI
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 1
ZBR
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |