Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
5º
2º
49
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
THU
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
2 - 3
THU
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
THU
2 - 0
FCA
41%
24%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
THU
1 - 3
FCL
28%
24%
49%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
THU
3 - 1
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
NEX
0 - 3
SIO
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 2
BAD
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 0
NEX
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
NEX
0 - 1
YOB
13%
19%
68%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
BEL
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |