Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
9º
6º
24
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 2
THU
17%
19%
65%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
STA
2 - 2
THU
27%
25%
49%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
THU
2 - 0
LAU
35%
26%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
THU
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BUL
0 - 4
THU
13%
17%
70%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 2
THU
17%
19%
65%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCV
15%
20%
66%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STA
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 1
NEX
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ASI
1 - 5
NEX
4%
10%
86%
|
54 | 7 | 47 | -1 |