Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
9º
6º
24
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 2
THU
17%
19%
65%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
STA
2 - 2
THU
27%
25%
49%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
THU
2 - 0
LAU
35%
26%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
THU
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BUL
0 - 4
THU
13%
17%
70%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 2
THU
17%
19%
65%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCV
15%
20%
66%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STA
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
3 - 1
NEX
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ASI
1 - 5
NEX
4%
10%
86%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |