Thun vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 1
THU
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
THU
0 - 4
BAS
24%
22%
54%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
STG
1 - 1
THU
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
THU
3 - 2
GCZ
23%
22%
56%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
SER
5 - 1
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
NEX
2 - 0
VAL
56%
21%
22%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
NEX
0 - 1
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEX
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 2
NEX
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
NEX
2 - 1
ZUR
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |