Thun vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SIO
2 - 0
THU
55%
24%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
THU
0 - 2
ZUR
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LAU
1 - 0
THU
28%
27%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
STG
2 - 0
THU
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NEX
4 - 0
THU
39%
26%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 0
LAU
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 2
NEX
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LAN
1 - 3
FCL
8%
15%
76%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCL
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |