Thun vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ZUR
5 - 0
THU
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
THU
0 - 1
SIO
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2006 |
THU
0 - 2
STG
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
THU
1 - 0
SCH
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 0
BAS
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
STG
1 - 0
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
FCL
1 - 1
SCH
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |