Cup Switzerland Quarter-finals

Thun vs FC Lugano analysis

Thun FC Lugano
69 ELO 78
1.6% Tilt 26.3%
430º General ELO ranking 313º
12º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
29.1%
Thun
24.5%
Draw
46.4%
FC Lugano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
Thun
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.4%
Win probability
FC Lugano
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Thun
FC Lugano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2022
THU
Thun
3 - 0
FC Wil
WIL
59%
23%
18%
69 60 9 0
15 Jan. 2022
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 3
Thun
THU
19%
20%
62%
69 58 11 0
08 Jan. 2022
YOB
Young Boys
6 - 1
Thun
THU
71%
17%
12%
69 84 15 0
17 Dec. 2021
THU
Thun
2 - 2
Schaffhausen
SCH
51%
25%
25%
69 64 5 0
10 Dec. 2021
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
1 - 4
Thun
THU
22%
23%
55%
69 59 10 0

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2022
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 1
Luzern
FCL
43%
27%
30%
78 74 4 0
29 Jan. 2022
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
70%
18%
13%
78 84 6 0
22 Jan. 2022
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 0
Chiasso
CHI
73%
18%
9%
78 55 23 0
15 Jan. 2022
LUG
FC Lugano
3 - 0
FC Vaduz
FCV
51%
24%
25%
78 69 9 0
12 Jan. 2022
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 2
Basel
BAS
21%
23%
55%
78 85 7 0