Thun vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
NEX
2 - 3
THU
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
THU
0 - 1
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 0
THU
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
YOB
4 - 2
THU
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 3
BAS
12%
19%
69%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 0
MFF
23%
26%
52%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FCL
1 - 2
LUG
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 3
STG
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
MFF
2 - 1
LUG
62%
21%
16%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |