Thun vs Lausanne Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
THU
4 - 0
WIN
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
KRI
0 - 2
THU
44%
25%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
WOH
0 - 1
THU
27%
25%
49%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
THU
1 - 3
WIL
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
KRI
2 - 1
THU
39%
23%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
LAU
0 - 0
KRI
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SCH
1 - 0
LAU
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LAU
1 - 2
LEM
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LAU
4 - 1
YOB
16%
20%
64%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +3 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
LAU
2 - 1
WIL
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |