Thun vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 1
THU
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
THU
0 - 2
BAS
23%
23%
55%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GCZ
0 - 1
THU
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
THU
5 - 1
SER
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
THU
2 - 0
FCK
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FCV
1 - 1
LUG
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SIO
4 - 2
FCV
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FCV
1 - 1
STG
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
WIN
1 - 0
FCV
19%
21%
60%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
SCA
3 - 0
FCV
27%
23%
51%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |