Thun vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
THU
1 - 2
WIL
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 0
THU
53%
23%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
FCA
1 - 3
THU
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
THU
2 - 0
LAU
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
THU
1 - 1
DEL
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LAU
0 - 1
FCA
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2002 |
FCA
0 - 3
LAU
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
FCA
1 - 3
THU
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCL
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |