Liga Suiza - Play Offs Ascenso Round 9

Thun vs Aarau analysis

Thun Aarau
72 ELO 75
5.9% Tilt 7.5%
433º General ELO ranking 735º
12º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
47.8%
Thun
24.4%
Draw
27.8%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
Thun
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.8%
Win probability
Aarau
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Thun
+9%
+1%
Aarau

ELO progression

Thun
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thun
Thun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2002
THU
Thun
1 - 2
FC Wil
WIL
46%
24%
30%
73 75 2 0
30 Mar. 2002
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 0
Thun
THU
53%
23%
25%
74 74 0 -1
23 Mar. 2002
FCA
Aarau
1 - 3
Thun
THU
52%
24%
24%
73 76 3 +1
17 Mar. 2002
THU
Thun
2 - 0
Lausanne Sports
LAU
41%
25%
34%
72 77 5 +1
10 Mar. 2002
THU
Thun
1 - 1
Delemont
DEL
51%
24%
25%
72 73 1 0

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2002
LAU
Lausanne Sports
0 - 1
Aarau
FCA
56%
22%
22%
74 78 4 0
01 Apr. 2002
FCA
Aarau
0 - 3
Lausanne Sports
LAU
43%
25%
32%
75 77 2 -1
23 Mar. 2002
FCA
Aarau
1 - 3
Thun
THU
52%
24%
24%
76 73 3 -1
17 Mar. 2002
WIL
FC Wil
2 - 2
Aarau
FCA
51%
23%
26%
76 75 1 0
09 Mar. 2002
FCA
Aarau
2 - 1
Luzern
FCL
64%
20%
16%
76 64 12 0