Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
GCZ
2 - 1
THU
45%
28%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
RAP
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
LOC
0 - 3
THU
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
THU
4 - 1
LAU
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
THU
3 - 0
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SIO
1 - 3
BAS
21%
24%
55%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
CHL
1 - 2
BAS
78%
14%
7%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 1
BAS
5%
13%
82%
|
85 | 41 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 1
YOB
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
LUD
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |