Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
STG
3 - 1
THU
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
THU
2 - 1
SCH
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
YOB
2 - 1
THU
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
THU
0 - 1
ZUR
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
THU
0 - 0
FCA
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 0
BAS
16%
22%
63%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 1
YOB
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
S04
1 - 1
BAS
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 1
SER
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |