Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
YOB
1 - 0
THU
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
THU
1 - 1
WIL
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
SCH
3 - 1
THU
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
FCA
2 - 0
THU
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
THU
3 - 0
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
MUD
1 - 1
BAS
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
SER
62%
20%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
BAS
2 - 0
SER
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
NEX
3 - 1
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2003 |
DEP
1 - 0
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |