Thun II vs Munsingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAD
4 - 0
THU
49%
23%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
THU
4 - 2
MUT
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 0
THU
55%
21%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
THU
0 - 1
FCG
61%
20%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SOL
4 - 2
THU
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Munsingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 1
MUT
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCG
0 - 2
MUN
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 0
MUN
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MUN
0 - 2
BRE
42%
27%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
DOR
0 - 0
MUN
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |