Thun II vs FC Grenchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SOL
4 - 2
THU
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
SCH
41%
24%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ZOF
0 - 5
THU
42%
22%
36%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
THU
1 - 2
BRE
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 1
THU
48%
23%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Grenchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SCH
2 - 3
FCG
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCG
0 - 0
BRE
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 0
FCG
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCG
0 - 4
OLD
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ZOF
1 - 1
FCG
44%
24%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |