Thun II vs Dornach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
44.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BAS
6 - 0
THU
84%
11%
6%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
THU
1 - 3
MUN
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 1
THU
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
THU
1 - 0
FCZ
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 1
THU
51%
22%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
DOR
3 - 1
BUM
80%
13%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MUT
3 - 2
DOR
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
DOR
3 - 2
LAU
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 4
DOR
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
DOR
1 - 0
ZOF
57%
21%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |