Three Star vs Manang Marshyangdi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Three Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
STA
1 - 1
ARM
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
STA
2 - 0
FRC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
STA
2 - 2
MFC
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
STA
2 - 1
POL
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
STA
3 - 0
RCT
47%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manang Marshyangdi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
FRC
0 - 4
MAN
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
MAN
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
SAY
0 - 2
MAN
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAK
0 - 2
MAN
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
JYC
0 - 3
MAN
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |