Three Bridges vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
63.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Three Bridges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
HAM
1 - 0
THR
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FAV
2 - 2
THR
70%
17%
12%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
THR
0 - 3
HER
31%
24%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 3
THR
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
THR
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MER
2 - 6
WEA
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MER
1 - 3
MAI
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 3
MER
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
BUR
0 - 2
MER
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
LEA
32%
24%
44%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |