Thór vs Fylkir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
71.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thór
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
GRI
3 - 2
THO
76%
14%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
STJ
3 - 1
THO
70%
16%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
FJA
0 - 1
THO
49%
23%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
THO
2 - 3
HAU
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
AFT
1 - 4
THO
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fylkir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
IAA
2 - 1
FYL
20%
22%
58%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
FYL
0 - 0
NJA
85%
11%
4%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FYL
3 - 1
STJ
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FYL
1 - 1
FHH
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
IBV
2 - 3
FYL
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |