Thisted vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
47.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
12º
6º
43
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
JAM
0 - 3
THI
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
KOL
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
B93
2 - 0
THI
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
THI
2 - 0
HOL
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
THI
0 - 1
VEJ
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ESB
2 - 0
FRE
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
HEL
1 - 0
ESB
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ESB
2 - 1
ROS
41%
25%
35%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ESB
0 - 2
AAF
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MID
3 - 1
ESB
43%
23%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |