Thisted vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AAR
2 - 1
THI
20%
21%
59%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
THI
2 - 2
OTB
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
THI
43%
23%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
THI
1 - 0
VIB
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
SKI
3 - 1
THI
24%
22%
54%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AAF
2 - 2
KJE
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SVE
0 - 2
AAF
32%
25%
44%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
AAF
1 - 1
SKI
68%
19%
12%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SKJ
1 - 1
AAF
19%
23%
58%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AAF
2 - 1
NAS
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |