Third Lanark vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1896 |
STM
3 - 2
TLA
35%
22%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1896 |
TLA
1 - 2
CEL
36%
22%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1896 |
CLY
2 - 7
TLA
32%
22%
45%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1896 |
STB
4 - 1
TLA
39%
23%
39%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1895 |
TLA
2 - 3
GLA
36%
22%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1896 |
STM
3 - 2
TLA
35%
22%
43%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1896 |
GLA
3 - 3
STM
72%
16%
13%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1895 |
STM
2 - 2
CLY
64%
18%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1895 |
STM
1 - 3
CEL
28%
21%
51%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1895 |
CLY
1 - 3
STM
40%
22%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |