Third Lanark vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1922 |
AIR
1 - 0
TLA
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
TLA
1 - 2
KIL
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
CEL
3 - 0
TLA
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
TLA
1 - 1
FAL
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
RAI
1 - 0
TLA
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
GRE
3 - 0
ALB
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1922 |
HAM
1 - 1
GRE
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1922 |
GRE
2 - 3
DUN
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1922 |
HOM
3 - 1
GRE
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
PAR
0 - 1
GRE
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |