Third Lanark vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.1%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Third Lanark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1908 |
HIB
3 - 0
TLA
56%
24%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1908 |
TLA
0 - 1
STM
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1908 |
MHE
1 - 0
TLA
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1908 |
TLA
6 - 3
KIL
88%
9%
4%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1908 |
TLA
2 - 1
PAR
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1908 |
GRE
1 - 0
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1908 |
ABE
2 - 0
GRE
71%
16%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1908 |
GRE
0 - 5
CEL
20%
22%
58%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1908 |
GRE
2 - 2
KIL
63%
20%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1908 |
GRE
3 - 2
QUE
57%
21%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |