Thika United vs Sofapaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KAK
2 - 1
THI
52%
26%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
THI
1 - 0
NAI
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
THI
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
GOR
2 - 1
THI
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
THI
0 - 0
POS
51%
24%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sofapaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NAI
0 - 1
SOF
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SOF
1 - 2
KAK
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 1
SOF
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SOF
1 - 2
CHE
62%
23%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
WES
1 - 0
SOF
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |