Thika United vs Chemelil Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MUH
0 - 2
THI
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
THI
2 - 1
KAK
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
NAI
0 - 1
THI
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SOF
1 - 0
THI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GOR
1 - 1
THI
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
NAI
1 - 2
CHE
30%
30%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
SOF
31%
31%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SON
0 - 2
CHE
43%
29%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
AFC
30%
30%
40%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |