Thiers vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
74.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.1%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
THI
1 - 0
MOA
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
THI
0 - 1
COU
59%
22%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
ASO
0 - 1
THI
20%
25%
55%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
THI
1 - 2
BEA
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NFC
0 - 3
THI
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
TFC
0 - 0
ASN
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 2
LYO
21%
24%
55%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
TFC
3 - 0
ASN
43%
29%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 4
LIL
33%
28%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MPL
0 - 2
ASN
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |