Thesprotos vs Apollon Kalamaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
8º
14º
14º
32
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thesprotos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 0
THE
77%
17%
6%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
THE
1 - 1
VER
15%
23%
62%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MKN
2 - 0
THE
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
THE
2 - 2
PNT
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PAN
1 - 1
THE
74%
18%
9%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Kalamaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
APO
0 - 1
APL
25%
26%
50%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
NIK
3 - 0
APO
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
APO
1 - 2
PTF
22%
24%
55%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IRL
0 - 1
APO
20%
21%
60%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
APO
0 - 1
DIA
48%
27%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |