Thespa Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
OIT
1 - 2
THE
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TOC
2 - 1
THE
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
THE
0 - 4
KAR
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
YOK
0 - 1
THE
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
THE
2 - 0
JEF
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Roasso Kumamoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ROA
2 - 1
GIF
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ROA
1 - 0
TOK
35%
27%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
CON
4 - 0
ROA
49%
25%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ROA
3 - 0
GIR
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
OIT
1 - 1
ROA
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |