Thespa Gunma vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MIT
1 - 0
THE
42%
27%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
THE
1 - 0
EHI
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
KAT
1 - 2
THE
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
THE
1 - 1
YOK
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TOK
2 - 0
THE
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Giravanz Kitakyushu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 1
MON
36%
27%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GIF
1 - 0
GIR
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
GAI
57%
23%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VEN
1 - 2
GIR
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
KAT
2 - 3
GIR
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |