Thermal Abano vs Jolly Montemurlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thermal Abano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
3 - 2
THE
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
THE
0 - 3
ROM
45%
23%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -3 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
THE
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
THE
0 - 3
FOR
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MEZ
2 - 2
THE
49%
22%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jolly Montemurlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
ROM
2 - 2
JMO
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
JMO
1 - 1
RIB
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 2
JMO
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
JMO
0 - 1
PIA
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 1
JMO
52%
22%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |