Thermaikos Thermis vs Byron Kavala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
4º
11º
9º
31
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
65.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
40.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 4 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thermaikos Thermis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
EAA
0 - 1
THT
25%
22%
53%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
THT
1 - 1
AGR
31%
28%
41%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
IRA
0 - 1
THT
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
THT
3 - 0
OPX
62%
21%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
THT
1 - 0
AGR
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Byron Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BYK
1 - 3
PFC
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ASM
2 - 3
BYK
64%
19%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BYK
0 - 5
PAN
5%
12%
84%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
BYK
1 - 0
POF
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
BYK
2 - 0
ANA
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +3 |