The Strongest vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
12º
1º
0
1º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 44 |
1º
|
88.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
88.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 37 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 26 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
48% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 21 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 19 |
15º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana qualifying phase
|
0% | 58.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 41.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DGV
0 - 4
STR
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
STR
2 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
BLO
3 - 1
STR
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
BAH
3 - 0
STR
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
STR
1 - 1
BAH
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AUR
2 - 0
ABB
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
GUA
5 - 2
AUR
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AUR
5 - 1
OPE
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
AUR
0 - 1
DGV
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
STR
4 - 0
AUR
49%
22%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |