The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
2º
1º
14
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 0
BAL
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
TNS
9 - 0
GRE
93%
6%
2%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 6
TNS
21%
23%
56%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
RTW
0 - 5
TNS
7%
13%
81%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 2
EAS
92%
6%
2%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COL
0 - 1
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
COL
6 - 2
LUF
85%
10%
5%
|
54 | 10 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
COL
61%
22%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
PRE
2 - 2
COL
13%
18%
69%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
CAR
26%
27%
48%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |