The New Saints vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 2
TNS
14%
19%
67%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 1
LLA
48%
23%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NEA
2 - 2
TNS
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TNS
0 - 0
BAL
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
NEW
2 - 4
TNS
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
RHY
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
LLA
4 - 0
CEF
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 1
CAE
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 4
WEL
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CEF
0 - 1
NEA
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |