The New Saints vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2002 |
TNS
3 - 2
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
POR
1 - 0
TNS
23%
24%
54%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2002 |
TNS
1 - 2
RHY
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
TNS
2 - 0
LID
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
HAV
3 - 3
TNS
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
CAE
0 - 0
CEF
72%
17%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
CEF
2 - 2
HAV
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 2
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
CEF
2 - 4
CWM
25%
24%
51%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2002 |
CEF
1 - 3
CAE
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |