The New Saints vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+108%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 1
CON
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 4
TNS
19%
23%
59%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -9 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 0
TNS
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +9 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TNS
5 - 1
CEF
72%
18%
11%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 3
BAL
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CEF
3 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CON
3 - 0
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAN
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 1
TNS
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |