Challenge Cup . Final

The New Saints vs Airdrieonians analysis

The New Saints Airdrieonians
66 ELO 68
53.8% Tilt 19.4%
1387º General ELO ranking 1417º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
63%
The New Saints
18.2%
Draw
18.8%
Airdrieonians

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
The New Saints
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
18.8%
Win probability
Airdrieonians
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

The New Saints
Airdrieonians
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

The New Saints
The New Saints
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2024
NEW
Newtown
0 - 1
The New Saints
TNS
38%
25%
38%
66 64 2 0
08 Mar. 2024
CON
Connah's Quay
1 - 5
The New Saints
TNS
43%
25%
32%
66 66 0 0
02 Mar. 2024
TNS
The New Saints
4 - 0
Cardiff MU
CAR
65%
19%
16%
66 66 0 0
23 Feb. 2024
CAE
Caernarfon Town FC
1 - 8
The New Saints
TNS
37%
24%
38%
66 61 5 0
16 Feb. 2024
BRI
Briton Ferry
1 - 5
The New Saints
TNS
17%
19%
64%
67 52 15 -1

Matches

Airdrieonians
Airdrieonians
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2024
AIR
Airdrieonians
5 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
72%
18%
10%
66 53 13 0
09 Mar. 2024
ICT
Inverness CT
0 - 0
Airdrieonians
AIR
37%
27%
36%
66 64 2 0
05 Mar. 2024
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 2
Airdrieonians
AIR
39%
27%
34%
65 63 2 +1
02 Mar. 2024
AIR
Airdrieonians
1 - 1
Queen's Park
QUE
61%
22%
18%
65 58 7 0
27 Feb. 2024
DUN
Dundee United
0 - 2
Airdrieonians
AIR
62%
22%
16%
64 73 9 +1
X